The Arabian Sea cyclone Nisarga intensified into a critical cyclone early this early morning and lay centred at 8.thirty am about one hundred thirty km South-South-West of Alibag a hundred and seventy km South-South-West of Mumbai and 400 km South-South-West of Surat.
It is predicted to cross the North Maharashtra coast just to the South of Alibag this afternoon as a critical cyclone packing winds speeds of one hundred-one hundred ten km/hr gusting 120 km/hr. Following crossing, it may perhaps plough into Madhya and South-East Uttar Pradesh ahead of heading into the foothills of the Himalayas and into Nepal.
Monitor into West Madhya Pradesh
No sooner would have the Nisarga remnant light out than the North-East Bay of Bengal readies to host the up coming circulation which, as per initial projections by the IMD, could come to be a melancholy and orient alone correctly toward the monsoon sweet spot of Head Bay for great launch into East India. This is in stark contrast to predecessor super cyclone Amphan that strayed immediately after pulverising West Bengal.
This likely melancholy may perhaps move into West Uttar Pradesh per forecasts valid till June thirteen, driving the monsoon from the Bay into the country’s farming heartland land, the most suitable situation guaranteeing rain protection. The Arabia Sea and Bay of Bengal arms of the monsoon will have been nicely set up then.
Nisarga develops ‘eye’
Having said that, the Arabian Sea may perhaps slide into a brief lull publish-critical cyclone Nisarga. In accordance to the IMD, the critical cyclone formulated an ‘eye’ at its centre before this early morning with a diameter of 65 km. It indicated strengthening of the storm intensify as nicely as beefing up of wind speeds from 85-ninety five km/hr gusting to one hundred km/hr to ninety-one hundred km/hr gusting to one hundred ten km/hr.
Gale-force winds clocking one hundred-one hundred ten km/hr gusting to 120 km/hr prevailed above the East-Central Arabian Sea this early morning, which would afterwards increase to the Raigad, Mumbai and adjoining Thane coasts and 85-ninety five km/hr gusting to 105 km/hr together and off Ratnagiri, Sindhudurg, Palghar and the rest of Thane.
High winds, storm surge
Wind speeds predicted by noon in the neighbourhood are: 60-eighty km/hr gusting to ninety km/hr together and off Valsad and Navsari, Daman, Dadra & Nagar Haveli 60-70 km/hr gusting to eighty km/hr together and off Surat and Bharuch and 50-60 km/hr gusting to 70 km/hr above rest of the South Gujarat, Karnataka and Goa.
The sea condition will be (i) significant to pretty significant (wave heights of thirty-forty ft) together and off Maharashtra and Goa coasts till this evening and (ii) pretty tough to significant (20-thirty ft) together and off South Gujarat coast. Storm surge of three-7 ft over astronomical tide may perhaps inundate reduced-lying spots of Mumbai, Thane and Raigad and of one-three ft at Ratnagiri. Fishermen together and off Karnataka-Goa-Maharashtra-South Gujarat are advised to remain back dwelling till tomorrow.
Weighty to pretty weighty rain
Weighty to pretty weighty falls are forecast at a couple places and exceptionally weighty falls (20 cm or over) at isolated places Mumbai, Palghar, Thane, Raigad and North Madhya Maharashtra till tomorrow. Weighty to pretty weighty falls are likely at isolated places above Ratnagiri, Sindhudurg, Goa, Valsad, Navsari, Dang, Daman, Dadra & Nagar Haveli and Surat during this period of time. Weighty falls may perhaps lash components of West Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha.
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